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bayesian_statistics
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. Odds reflect the ratio of an event occurring or not $$Occurance: Non\mbox{-}Occurance$$ where the event will be clearly decided, i.e. one of the options must occur $$Occurance + Non\mbox{-}Occurance=1$$ For example 9 to 1 on - st... happening is $9$ times more likely to happen than not to happen $1$. This corresponds to a probability
could_democracy_and_our_market_system_save_us_from_ourselves
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ated = 2016-12-02 ~~ If technological advance is not an absolute good and it is instead precisely tec... ring an end to this? Kaczynski would say there is nothing that can halt this advance in our current sy... our own undoing as in Vonnegut's [[wp>Galápagos_(novel)|Galápagos]]? Can we truly stay that we are driving technology for our greater good and not just for its own sake? Do the technologists do t
collecting_my_notes_as_a_blog
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====== Collecting My Notes as a Blog ====== Gathering my notes into a blog type structure following [[https://www.dokuwiki.o... at, but yeah…Looks interesting how it gathers the notes together. In the sea of data that is availab... hat there is much that can appear online that has not already been said. Maybe we are already living i
erdos_number
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. The people who have collaborated with them (but not with Erdős himself) have an Erdős number of 2 (9... ed with people who have an Erdős number of 2 (but not with Erdős or anyone with an Erdős number of 1) ... an Erdős number of 3, and so forth. A person with no such coauthorship chain connecting to Erdős has a... cillations in a class of weakly resonant systems. Nonlinear Anal. 57 (2004), no. 7-8, 929–949. MR Er
how_i_now_do_my_reading_-_instapaper_kindle
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====== How I now do my reading - Instapaper & Kindle ====== ~~META: date created = 2016-11-21 ~~ ** 21 Nov 2016 - dob ** I have started using [[http://www... tured and thought through. There is surely enough noise in the world already without adding more throu... TV - where in the end your time is gone, you have not gained anything and you have not even particular
let_astray_by_the_media
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I have to admit that my world view recently does not seem to match what is actually happening and I w... events came to pass, as they have done, was also not correct. For example, electing a guy who espouse... to all new highs after his election. Reality does not match up with my world picture. I am not sure why, but at least that much appears to be true. =====
gold
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ern, functional society in peacetime, it is still not a trivial thing to get this converted into goods... ty, where all services and systems are running as normal, this is still not trivial. How would this look like in some type of post apocalyptic world where nothing is running or working? How many willing take
commerce_and_politics_have_always_been_sources_of_dramatic_change_-_why_is_this_always_surprising
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cept the current status quo as eternal. Change is not something that is intuitively easy to grasp. It ... le despite millennia of history to the contrary. No state structure lasts forever, no matter how big or how powerful it becomes. On an even shorter timef... away. This is sometimes for good - but with many notable examples where this was catastrophic. It is
currency_variation_stock_price
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priced in US dollars from a minimum of 0,84\$ in Nov 2000 up to 1.6\$ July 2008. At the time of writi... he SP500 is, however, priced in \$ and as such is nominally doing perfectly well in 2017. No major alarm about a stalling US stock market. The 10% depreciation of the $ in € terms is also notable absent from headlines. Gyrations of the GB
monetizing_positive_impulses
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ears due to the huge potential. These desires are not limited to any one demographic group. ====== =... /should in fact cost less. Packaging your rice in non branded/unprinted hemp sacks appears however to ... es somebody else just sell simpler for less. I am not sure. I am guessing there is a branding associat... old style market style shops. Although people are nominally paying for a product that is a direct reac
memories_from_childhood
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nsia/508886/|Traces of time lost]], THe Atlantic, Nov 2016)) about formation of memories in childhood ... which our two younger companions will presumably not remember - at least not like this. But then again, neither will I without the benefit of the picture
technology_ai_distribution_of_capital
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conclusion he draws are more than just troubling (not to mention his actions). Other topics I have be... ng about are income distribution and inequality - notably Thomas Picketty's Capital in the Twenty-Firs... and class structure Proust writes about, this may not entirely unrelated to a world that Picketty woul
author_michael_lewis
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s Tversky]] and [[wp>Daniel Kahneman]]. Economics nobel prize winner Kahneman's //"Thinking Fast and S... ining books and giving insight into areas that do not usually provide the best material for an easy re
internet_censorship_monitoring_in_the_uk
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m "Pennsylvania Assembly: Reply to the Governor", November 11, 1755; as cited in The Papers of Benjami... ty, to purchase a little temporary Safety, deserve neither Liberty nor Safety"]])) ~~DISCUSSION~~
achill
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{:blog:20161231_113840.jpg?direct&610|}}\\ ...and now on to find something to interest myself in 2017.
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