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bayesian_statistics

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hip and work of Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky. There are some examples given of how knowing the underl... ag{2}$$ Consider the chances of getting sick when there is a contagion in the local population. If half t... =0 $ then it follows that $ P(A \cap B) = 0 $ and there is no chance you get sick! ===== Permutations &... m a total of $n$ options, how many variations are there? The different ways of distributing k successes i

gold

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resting material. It doesn't react chemically and therefore doesn't oxidize or degrade over time. It has ... thing in an ever changing world. It has been seen therefore as a constant store of value since ancient ti... s running or working? How many willing takers are there going to be for the block of metal in exchange fo

monetizing_positive_impulses

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bio/organic food for example. You can argue that there is a qualitative difference in the food and I bel... ll simpler for less. I am not sure. I am guessing there is a branding associated with the "simpler" produ

achill

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nd me [[dob:regensburg|locally]] in 2017. Perhaps there are some new and interesting events and people to

how_i_now_do_my_reading_-_instapaper_kindle

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that are properly structured and thought through. There is surely enough noise in the world already witho

let_astray_by_the_media

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coming from the electorate. What explanation is there for markets responding so positively to Trump's e

technology_ai_distribution_of_capital

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d by Ted Kaczynski(better known as the Unabomber) there is still a logic to at least some of his thinking

could_democracy_and_our_market_system_save_us_from_ourselves

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hat can bring an end to this? Kaczynski would say there is nothing that can halt this advance in our curr

currency_variation_stock_price

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ises also does not get much coverage. I wonder is there a critical psychological point where this does be

collecting_my_notes_as_a_blog

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ially for my own amusement as it is unlikely that there is much that can appear online that has not alrea

author_michael_lewis

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till enjoyable. I am a fan, enjoy his writing and therefore somewhat biased though. I am curious to see h