rk of Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky. There are some examples given of how knowing the underlying probability or base rate of an event and given some initial sampling you can forecast the likely re... eorem]] is one tool to look at this and it yields some unexpected results that can differ substantiall... and important as a lot of sampling is limited and so these outcomes are everywhere. How probabilities
r of mathematical papers, [[wp>Paul Erdős]] was also quite an enigmatic character. His biography, [[wp... be a coauthor of a research paper with another person who has a finite Erdős number. Paul Erdős has an... Erdős number of 1) have an Erdős number of 3, and so forth. A person with no such coauthorship chain connecting to Erdős has an Erdős number of infinity (
aving gold for the days of Armageddon when modern society breaks down and all Fiat currency becomes wo... bar in my house in our current modern, functional society in peacetime, it is still not a trivial thin... helter etc..). First of all, you have to prove in some way that the material you have is actually gold. This requires assaying it in some way. Then you need to find someone to accept th
ial Intelligence (AI), super-intelligence and the so called singularity(([[https://medium.com/ai-revol... the Unabomber) there is still a logic to at least some of his thinking with respect to technological p... ked with financial independence and your place in society. Alternatively, like in Henry Thoreau's Walden, you can drop out of society and so massively reduce your expenditure and
====== Commerce and politics have always been sources of dramatic change - why is this always surprisi... the current status quo as eternal. Change is not something that is intuitively easy to grasp. It seem... t years later this can all be swept away. This is sometimes for good - but with many notable examples where this was catastrophic.
It is also equally hard to imagine that some of the world's
16-12-02
~~
If technological advance is not an absolute good and it is instead precisely technological advance (Nuclear weapons, AI or some other version of Nick Bolstrom's black ball fro... n halt this advance in our current system without some type or revolution to overthrow our current ins... humanity or merely because they are driven to do so as it is who they are? Being one of them, I suspe
enings include the Brexit and Trump votes. I am also surprised that my expectation about what would ha... ese events came to pass, as they have done, was also not correct. For example, electing a guy who espo... s it that the news and media that I am reading is so slanted and divorced from reality that I am even ...
What explanation is there for markets responding so positively to Trump's election? What am I current
ready without adding more through twitter & other social media feeds. Reading this stuff feels like ch... am to put in the effort and time to [[dob:read]] something, then I would hope that the writer has something interesting to say and has taken the time to ... ndle Whispersync function as far as I understand, so you need to have this option clicked in the kindl
et. The 10% depreciation of the $ in € terms is also notable absent from headlines.
Gyrations of the GBP with various crises also does not get much coverage. I wonder is there a c... does become important. Crossing parity I think is something that would penetrate through to a headline... . Maybe this 1€ having greater value than 1GBP would provoke some debate in Brexit?
~~DISCUSSION~~
nd can be modified and extended using it. Watched some of [[http://emacsrocks.com/|Emacs Rocks]] video... onto Excel Macros — which may actually help me do some routine data entry tasks automatically. This, however, also seems to require some time needed to implement across a series of excel files. \\
“Computers can hel
ee interesting recent examples are the desire for social contact (social media companies), desire for good food (Bio, organic companies) and the desire to... o increase the price dramatically.
Why then does somebody else just sell simpler for less. I am not sure. I am guessing there is a branding associated with the "simpler" product in these old sty
sy read (Financial system, sport statistics,...). Some of the books are true classics (Liars Poker, Bi... able. I am a fan, enjoy his writing and therefore somewhat biased though. I am curious to see how this... es him.
Here is an interview of Lewis discussing some of his earlier work at the Haas Business School
====== Internet Censorship/Monitoring in the UK ======
~~DRAFT~~
Recent new laws to gather Internet... ves]] then surely this should ring a warning bell somewhere that this may be too intrusive for everyone else also.
"Those who would give up essential Liberty, to
e a little meta in using the newly installed blog software to document how to do that, but yeah…Looks ... d, but all that may be of value is buried amongst so much nonsense.
Winter won't last forever and I a
_113840.jpg?direct&610|}}\\
...and now on to find something to interest myself in 2017. I plan to look... b:regensburg|locally]] in 2017. Perhaps there are some new and interesting events and people to be dis
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