rk of Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky. There are some examples given of how knowing the underlying probability or base rate of an event and given some initial sampling you can forecast the likely resu... eorem]] is one tool to look at this and it yields some unexpected results that can differ substantially ... ew information changes the probabilities. This in some ways sounds obvious but is the basis of many stat
ely technological advance (Nuclear weapons, AI or some other version of Nick Bolstrom's black ball from ... n halt this advance in our current system without some type or revolution to overthrow our current insti... ses economic imbalances over time that will cause some type of democratic unrest and rise anti intellect
helter etc..). First of all, you have to prove in some way that the material you have is actually gold. This requires assaying it in some way. Then you need to find someone to accept this... is still not trivial. How would this look like in some type of post apocalyptic world where nothing is r
nd can be modified and extended using it. Watched some of [[http://emacsrocks.com/|Emacs Rocks]] videos ... onto Excel Macros — which may actually help me do some routine data entry tasks automatically. This, however, also seems to require some time needed to implement across a series of excel
sy read (Financial system, sport statistics,...). Some of the books are true classics (Liars Poker, Big ... es him.
Here is an interview of Lewis discussing some of his earlier work at the Haas Business School i