and important as a lot of sampling is limited and so these outcomes are everywhere. How probabilities can be updated as new information comes in is also interesting. I am pretty sure I have learned this... x{ to } (1 - Occurance) = Non\mbox{-}Occurance$$
So if the probability is 10% or 0.10, then the odds ... } on}{Odds \mbox{ } on + Odds \mbox{ }against}$$
So to convert odds of 1/9 to a probability, using ab
enings include the Brexit and Trump votes. I am also surprised that my expectation about what would ha... ese events came to pass, as they have done, was also not correct. For example, electing a guy who espo... s it that the news and media that I am reading is so slanted and divorced from reality that I am even ...
What explanation is there for markets responding so positively to Trump's election? What am I current
ial Intelligence (AI), super-intelligence and the so called singularity(([[https://medium.com/ai-revol... Thoreau's Walden, you can drop out of society and so massively reduce your expenditure and in this way... today's world.
As for long form writing - I am also reading the ultimate long form writing in Marcel
le examples where this was catastrophic.
It is also equally hard to imagine that some of the world's ... on (and sometimes much more quickly). Why is this so hard to imagine despite all evidence to the contr
r of mathematical papers, [[wp>Paul Erdős]] was also quite an enigmatic character. His biography, [[wp... Erdős number of 1) have an Erdős number of 3, and so forth. A person with no such coauthorship chain c
t, then it becomes a self fulfilling prophecy and so long as people react in this way in their handing... ilar to the paper currency risk, whose value is also based on confidence levels in governments that pe
et. The 10% depreciation of the $ in € terms is also notable absent from headlines.
Gyrations of the GBP with various crises also does not get much coverage. I wonder is there a c
